Are aquaculture growth policies in high-income countries due diligence or illusionary dreams? Foreseeing policy implications on seafood production in Singapore

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Are aquaculture growth policies in high-income countries due diligence or illusionary dreams? Foreseeing policy implications on seafood production in Singapore. / Bohnes, Florence Alexia; Rodriguez, U-Primo; Nielsen, Max; Laurent, Alexis.

In: Food Policy, Vol. 93, 101885, 2020.

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

Harvard

Bohnes, FA, Rodriguez, U-P, Nielsen, M & Laurent, A 2020, 'Are aquaculture growth policies in high-income countries due diligence or illusionary dreams? Foreseeing policy implications on seafood production in Singapore', Food Policy, vol. 93, 101885. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2020.101885

APA

Bohnes, F. A., Rodriguez, U-P., Nielsen, M., & Laurent, A. (2020). Are aquaculture growth policies in high-income countries due diligence or illusionary dreams? Foreseeing policy implications on seafood production in Singapore. Food Policy, 93, [101885]. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2020.101885

Vancouver

Bohnes FA, Rodriguez U-P, Nielsen M, Laurent A. Are aquaculture growth policies in high-income countries due diligence or illusionary dreams? Foreseeing policy implications on seafood production in Singapore. Food Policy. 2020;93. 101885. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.foodpol.2020.101885

Author

Bohnes, Florence Alexia ; Rodriguez, U-Primo ; Nielsen, Max ; Laurent, Alexis. / Are aquaculture growth policies in high-income countries due diligence or illusionary dreams? Foreseeing policy implications on seafood production in Singapore. In: Food Policy. 2020 ; Vol. 93.

Bibtex

@article{15c8e2d19aa74bcb894b15a4443a7c49,
title = "Are aquaculture growth policies in high-income countries due diligence or illusionary dreams?: Foreseeing policy implications on seafood production in Singapore",
abstract = "In the beginning of 2019, the Singaporean government announced its desire to increase domestic food production and, in particular, aquaculture to reach 30% of self-sufficiency by 2030. Similar policies aiming at encouraging aquaculture growth abound in high-income countries in recent years, but have had limited success. Hence, this paper investigates the potential implications of such policies to foresee consequences beforehand and improve the policy's chances of success. Three scenarios of aquaculture development are built for Singapore until 2040, among which a business-as-usual scenario and two explorative scenarios aiming at increasing aquaculture production, the first emphasizing existing technologies and the second giving priority to novel and innovative ones, like recirculating aquaculture systems. These scenarios are assessed using an adapted version of the supply-demand partial equilibrium model Asiafish to challenge their viability in the socioeconomic context of Singapore. Only the two explorative scenarios are found to allow the Singaporean government to reach its goal in terms of seafood self-sufficiency by 2030, one of which appears to have strong advantages. In this scenario, imports decrease by 28% by 2040, seafood self-sufficiency reaches 69% and 90% of all aquaculture originates from innovative technologies, which would make Singapore an aquaculture tech-hub. It also has higher benefits within Singapore environmental, social and economic constraints such as land and aquafeed scarcity.",
keywords = "Aquaculture production, Asiafish model, Scenarios, Seafood self-sufficiency, Singapore, Supply-demand",
author = "Bohnes, {Florence Alexia} and U-Primo Rodriguez and Max Nielsen and Alexis Laurent",
year = "2020",
doi = "10.1016/j.foodpol.2020.101885",
language = "English",
volume = "93",
journal = "Food Policy",
issn = "0306-9192",
publisher = "Pergamon Press",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Are aquaculture growth policies in high-income countries due diligence or illusionary dreams?

T2 - Foreseeing policy implications on seafood production in Singapore

AU - Bohnes, Florence Alexia

AU - Rodriguez, U-Primo

AU - Nielsen, Max

AU - Laurent, Alexis

PY - 2020

Y1 - 2020

N2 - In the beginning of 2019, the Singaporean government announced its desire to increase domestic food production and, in particular, aquaculture to reach 30% of self-sufficiency by 2030. Similar policies aiming at encouraging aquaculture growth abound in high-income countries in recent years, but have had limited success. Hence, this paper investigates the potential implications of such policies to foresee consequences beforehand and improve the policy's chances of success. Three scenarios of aquaculture development are built for Singapore until 2040, among which a business-as-usual scenario and two explorative scenarios aiming at increasing aquaculture production, the first emphasizing existing technologies and the second giving priority to novel and innovative ones, like recirculating aquaculture systems. These scenarios are assessed using an adapted version of the supply-demand partial equilibrium model Asiafish to challenge their viability in the socioeconomic context of Singapore. Only the two explorative scenarios are found to allow the Singaporean government to reach its goal in terms of seafood self-sufficiency by 2030, one of which appears to have strong advantages. In this scenario, imports decrease by 28% by 2040, seafood self-sufficiency reaches 69% and 90% of all aquaculture originates from innovative technologies, which would make Singapore an aquaculture tech-hub. It also has higher benefits within Singapore environmental, social and economic constraints such as land and aquafeed scarcity.

AB - In the beginning of 2019, the Singaporean government announced its desire to increase domestic food production and, in particular, aquaculture to reach 30% of self-sufficiency by 2030. Similar policies aiming at encouraging aquaculture growth abound in high-income countries in recent years, but have had limited success. Hence, this paper investigates the potential implications of such policies to foresee consequences beforehand and improve the policy's chances of success. Three scenarios of aquaculture development are built for Singapore until 2040, among which a business-as-usual scenario and two explorative scenarios aiming at increasing aquaculture production, the first emphasizing existing technologies and the second giving priority to novel and innovative ones, like recirculating aquaculture systems. These scenarios are assessed using an adapted version of the supply-demand partial equilibrium model Asiafish to challenge their viability in the socioeconomic context of Singapore. Only the two explorative scenarios are found to allow the Singaporean government to reach its goal in terms of seafood self-sufficiency by 2030, one of which appears to have strong advantages. In this scenario, imports decrease by 28% by 2040, seafood self-sufficiency reaches 69% and 90% of all aquaculture originates from innovative technologies, which would make Singapore an aquaculture tech-hub. It also has higher benefits within Singapore environmental, social and economic constraints such as land and aquafeed scarcity.

KW - Aquaculture production

KW - Asiafish model

KW - Scenarios

KW - Seafood self-sufficiency

KW - Singapore

KW - Supply-demand

U2 - 10.1016/j.foodpol.2020.101885

DO - 10.1016/j.foodpol.2020.101885

M3 - Journal article

AN - SCOPUS:85082837577

VL - 93

JO - Food Policy

JF - Food Policy

SN - 0306-9192

M1 - 101885

ER -

ID: 239967488