The effect of climate change and adaptation policy on agricultural production in Eastern Africa

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The effect of climate change and adaptation policy on agricultural production in Eastern Africa. / Kahsay, Goytom Abraha; Hansen, Lars Gårn.

In: Ecological Economics, Vol. 121, 2016, p. 54-64.

Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal article › Research › peer-review

Harvard

Kahsay, GA & Hansen, LG 2016, 'The effect of climate change and adaptation policy on agricultural production in Eastern Africa', Ecological Economics, vol. 121, pp. 54-64. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2015.11.016

APA

Kahsay, G. A., & Hansen, L. G. (2016). The effect of climate change and adaptation policy on agricultural production in Eastern Africa. Ecological Economics, 121, 54-64. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2015.11.016

Vancouver

Kahsay GA, Hansen LG. The effect of climate change and adaptation policy on agricultural production in Eastern Africa. Ecological Economics. 2016;121:54-64. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2015.11.016

Author

Kahsay, Goytom Abraha ; Hansen, Lars Gårn. / The effect of climate change and adaptation policy on agricultural production in Eastern Africa. In: Ecological Economics. 2016 ; Vol. 121. pp. 54-64.

Bibtex

@article{94541ea0812240188697e39eebfe2c44,
title = "The effect of climate change and adaptation policy on agricultural production in Eastern Africa",
abstract = "We estimate the production function for agricultural output in Eastern Africa incorporating climate variables disaggregated into growing and non-growing seasons. We find a substantial negative effect of within growing season variance of precipitation. We simulate predicted climate change for the region and find a resulting output reduction of between 1.2% and 4.5%. Our simulation also demonstrates substantial potential for economic benefits from mitigating the effects of within growing season precipitation variability through conventional technologies such as flexible planting and rainwater harvesting on the same scale as the potential loss from predicted climate change.",
keywords = "Adaptation policy, Agricultural production, Climate change, Eastern Africa",
author = "Kahsay, {Goytom Abraha} and Hansen, {Lars G{\aa}rn}",
year = "2016",
doi = "10.1016/j.ecolecon.2015.11.016",
language = "English",
volume = "121",
pages = "54--64",
journal = "Ecological Economics",
issn = "0921-8009",
publisher = "Elsevier",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - The effect of climate change and adaptation policy on agricultural production in Eastern Africa

AU - Kahsay, Goytom Abraha

AU - Hansen, Lars Gårn

PY - 2016

Y1 - 2016

N2 - We estimate the production function for agricultural output in Eastern Africa incorporating climate variables disaggregated into growing and non-growing seasons. We find a substantial negative effect of within growing season variance of precipitation. We simulate predicted climate change for the region and find a resulting output reduction of between 1.2% and 4.5%. Our simulation also demonstrates substantial potential for economic benefits from mitigating the effects of within growing season precipitation variability through conventional technologies such as flexible planting and rainwater harvesting on the same scale as the potential loss from predicted climate change.

AB - We estimate the production function for agricultural output in Eastern Africa incorporating climate variables disaggregated into growing and non-growing seasons. We find a substantial negative effect of within growing season variance of precipitation. We simulate predicted climate change for the region and find a resulting output reduction of between 1.2% and 4.5%. Our simulation also demonstrates substantial potential for economic benefits from mitigating the effects of within growing season precipitation variability through conventional technologies such as flexible planting and rainwater harvesting on the same scale as the potential loss from predicted climate change.

KW - Adaptation policy

KW - Agricultural production

KW - Climate change

KW - Eastern Africa

U2 - 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2015.11.016

DO - 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2015.11.016

M3 - Journal article

AN - SCOPUS:84948845771

VL - 121

SP - 54

EP - 64

JO - Ecological Economics

JF - Ecological Economics

SN - 0921-8009

ER -

ID: 161250803