Factoring attitudes towards armed conflict risk into selection of protected areas for conservation
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Factoring attitudes towards armed conflict risk into selection of protected areas for conservation. / Hammill, E.; Tulloch, A.I.T.; Possingham, H.P.; Strange, Niels; Wilson, K.A.
In: Nature Communications, Vol. 7, 11042, 2016.Research output: Contribution to journal › Journal article › Research › peer-review
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TY - JOUR
T1 - Factoring attitudes towards armed conflict risk into selection of protected areas for conservation
AU - Hammill, E.
AU - Tulloch, A.I.T.
AU - Possingham, H.P.
AU - Strange, Niels
AU - Wilson, K.A.
PY - 2016
Y1 - 2016
N2 - The high incidence of armed conflicts in biodiverse regions poses significant challenges in achieving international conservation targets. Because attitudes towards risk vary, we assessed different strategies for protected area planning that reflected alternative attitudes towards the risk of armed conflicts. We find that ignoring conflict risk will deliver the lowest return on investment. Opting to completely avoid conflict-prone areas offers limited improvements and could lead to species receiving no protection. Accounting for conflict by protecting additional areas to offset the impacts of armed conflicts would not only increase the return on investment (an effect that is enhanced when high-risk areas are excluded) but also increase upfront conservation costs. Our results also demonstrate that fine-scale estimations of conflict risk could enhance the cost-effectiveness of investments. We conclude that achieving biodiversity targets in volatile regions will require greater initial investment and benefit from fine-resolution estimates of conflict risk.
AB - The high incidence of armed conflicts in biodiverse regions poses significant challenges in achieving international conservation targets. Because attitudes towards risk vary, we assessed different strategies for protected area planning that reflected alternative attitudes towards the risk of armed conflicts. We find that ignoring conflict risk will deliver the lowest return on investment. Opting to completely avoid conflict-prone areas offers limited improvements and could lead to species receiving no protection. Accounting for conflict by protecting additional areas to offset the impacts of armed conflicts would not only increase the return on investment (an effect that is enhanced when high-risk areas are excluded) but also increase upfront conservation costs. Our results also demonstrate that fine-scale estimations of conflict risk could enhance the cost-effectiveness of investments. We conclude that achieving biodiversity targets in volatile regions will require greater initial investment and benefit from fine-resolution estimates of conflict risk.
U2 - 10.1038/ncomms11042
DO - 10.1038/ncomms11042
M3 - Journal article
C2 - 27025894
VL - 7
JO - Nature Communications
JF - Nature Communications
SN - 2041-1723
M1 - 11042
ER -
ID: 159741783