The effect of climate change and adaptation policy on agricultural production in eastern Africa
Research output: Working paper › Research
Standard
The effect of climate change and adaptation policy on agricultural production in eastern Africa. / Kahsay, Goytom Abraha; Hansen, Lars Gårn.
Frederiksberg : Department of Food and Resource Economics, University of Copenhagen, 2014.Research output: Working paper › Research
Harvard
APA
Vancouver
Author
Bibtex
}
RIS
TY - UNPB
T1 - The effect of climate change and adaptation policy on agricultural production in eastern Africa
AU - Kahsay, Goytom Abraha
AU - Hansen, Lars Gårn
PY - 2014
Y1 - 2014
N2 - We estimate the production function for agricultural output in Eastern Africa incorporating climate variables disaggregated into growing and non-growing seasons. We find a substantial negative effect of within growing season variance of precipitation. We simulate predicted climate change for the region and find a resulting output reduction of between 1.2% and 4.5%. We also find substantial potential for mitigating the effects of within growing season precipitation variability through conventional technologies such as flexible planting and rainwater harvesting that substantially exceeds the potential loss from predicted climate change.
AB - We estimate the production function for agricultural output in Eastern Africa incorporating climate variables disaggregated into growing and non-growing seasons. We find a substantial negative effect of within growing season variance of precipitation. We simulate predicted climate change for the region and find a resulting output reduction of between 1.2% and 4.5%. We also find substantial potential for mitigating the effects of within growing season precipitation variability through conventional technologies such as flexible planting and rainwater harvesting that substantially exceeds the potential loss from predicted climate change.
M3 - Working paper
T3 - IFRO Working Paper
BT - The effect of climate change and adaptation policy on agricultural production in eastern Africa
PB - Department of Food and Resource Economics, University of Copenhagen
CY - Frederiksberg
ER -
ID: 124103248